At Bitcoin 2026, River CEO Alex Leishman delivered a stark warning in his Nakamoto Stage talk, “We’re Not Fixing Money to Build More Casinos.” He argued that modern finance is drifting away from traditional banking toward a gambling model, leaving many Americans feeling financially trapped.

Why Finance Feels Like Gambling

Leishman highlighted rising housing costs, lingering student debt, and stagnant wages as pressures pushing people toward riskier financial behaviors. He noted that mainstream financial apps now embed betting features under the guise of investing, blurring the line between savings and speculation.

“More and more people are coming to the conclusion that they need to gamble to get ahead,” Leishman said. He described a world where finance and entertainment merge on screens, with apps promoting constant trading and outcome bets as the only path to financial freedom.

Banks vs. Casinos: A Vanishing Divide

Leishman contrasted today’s financial landscape with an earlier era when banks were places of safety. He argued that prediction markets have given institutions a way to integrate sports betting and event wagers into apps once focused on savings.

“A finance app that looks like a casino tells users the safe path of saving no longer works,” he said. “Only high-risk wagers do.”

Gambling’s Hidden Costs

Citing research, Leishman linked gambling to higher debt distress and personal bankruptcy rates. He criticized the ease of online betting, noting that anyone with a phone can now gamble from anywhere—with apps using push notifications and promotions to keep users engaged.

“Gambling isn’t good for society,” he said, urging policymakers and industry leaders to take the trend seriously.

Two Futures: Neither Good for Customers

Leishman outlined two possible futures:

  • Traditional banks: Grow wealthy off customer deposits while offering little yield or transparency.
  • Fintech firms: Double down on prediction markets and sports betting as core revenue streams.

In both scenarios, he argued, ordinary customers lose—either through eroding savings in low-yield accounts or by falling into the trap of speculative bets.

Bitcoin as the Alternative

Leishman positioned Bitcoin as a solution to this shift, framing it as a hedge against financial instability and a return to sound money principles.