2026 NBA Playoffs: Ranking the Final 8 Teams by Championship Odds

The first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs was a brutal test of endurance, with star players sidelined and series outcomes hanging in the balance. As the second round begins, the healthiest team may emerge as the ultimate victor. The Boston Celtics, once favored to win the East, were eliminated in a stunning Game 7 upset by the Philadelphia 76ers, despite Jayson Tatum’s absence due to injury. Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets, a preseason championship favorite, were swept by the Timberwolves, exposing their struggles with age and injuries to key players like Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo.

With the field narrowed to eight teams, here’s how the remaining contenders stack up in terms of their 2026 NBA championship chances:

8. Los Angeles Lakers: Can They Overcome Luka Doncic’s Absence?

The Lakers’ path to the second round was deceptively easy, thanks to a Rockets offense that offered little resistance. However, their matchup with the Oklahoma City Thunder presents a far greater challenge. While Austin Reaves’ return from injury is a positive sign, the Thunder boast an elite roster of perimeter defenders who will test the Lakers’ offensive firepower. Despite the guidance of head coach JJ Redick and the veteran savvy of 41-year-old LeBron James, the Lakers face an uphill battle without a fully healthy Luka Doncic. Even if they fall short, this series will highlight areas for improvement in the offseason.

7. Philadelphia 76ers: Joel Embiid’s Dominance Reshapes Title Hopes

The 76ers’ first-round victory over the Celtics was a statement win, powered by a healthy and engaged Joel Embiid. After recovering from appendicitis, Embiid dominated the Celtics’ frontcourt, proving his value as the team’s cornerstone. The Sixers now face a tougher test against the New York Knicks in the second round, but Embiid’s one-on-one scoring remains a significant advantage. Tyrese Maxey further cemented his reputation with standout performances, while rookie VJ Edgecombe delivered a clutch Game 7 with five three-pointers, signaling Philadelphia’s depth and potential.

6. New York Knicks: Jalen Brunson’s Leadership Under Fire

The Knicks enter the second round as a team in transition, with Jalen Brunson shouldering immense responsibility. After a shaky first-round series against the Heat, Brunson and the Knicks must prove they belong among the elite. Their matchup with the 76ers will test their offensive consistency and defensive resilience. Can Brunson elevate his game to match the pressure of a deep playoff run?

5. Oklahoma City Thunder: A Young Juggernaut Poised for Greatness

The Thunder stormed into the second round with a dominant first-round performance, showcasing their youthful exuberance and depth. With a roster stacked with emerging stars, Oklahoma City is a formidable opponent for any team. Their ability to overwhelm opponents with athleticism and precision will make them a nightmare matchup for the Lakers. The Thunder’s championship aspirations are backed by a strong foundation of talent and cohesion.

4. Minnesota Timberwolves: The Team That Shocked the Nuggets

The Timberwolves’ sweep of the Nuggets sent shockwaves through the league, proving their readiness to compete at the highest level. With Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo sidelined, Minnesota’s depth and resilience shone through. Their second-round matchup will be a true test of their growth and adaptability. If they can maintain their momentum, the Timberwolves are poised to make a deep run in the playoffs.

3. Dallas Mavericks: Luka Doncic’s Return Fuels Title Dreams

The Mavericks’ championship hopes hinge on Luka Doncic’s recovery and performance. With Doncic back in the lineup, Dallas boasts one of the most dynamic offensive attacks in the league. Their ability to space the floor and exploit mismatches makes them a dangerous opponent for any team. The Mavericks’ path to the Finals will require Doncic to elevate his game and lead his team through a gauntlet of elite competition.

2. Milwaukee Bucks: Giannis Antetokounmpo’s Dominance Continues

The Bucks remain a perennial contender, thanks to the unstoppable force of Giannis Antetokounmpo. With his combination of size, athleticism, and skill, Giannis is a matchup nightmare for any opponent. Milwaukee’s deep roster and cohesive team chemistry make them a formidable force in the playoffs. If they can navigate the challenges ahead, the Bucks are primed to contend for the championship.

1. Boston Celtics: The Early Favorites Still Have a Shot

Despite their stunning first-round exit, the Celtics remain one of the most talented teams in the league. With a roster brimming with young stars and veteran leadership, Boston’s potential is undeniable. Their ability to regroup and refocus after a tough loss will be critical in determining their fate. If the Celtics can address their weaknesses and rediscover their form, they remain a threat to any team in the playoffs.