Why Did the US and Israel Start a War with Iran?

Eight weeks after the US and Israel launched a war against Iran, the conflict’s objectives and justifications remain unclear. The stated reasons for the war are contradictory, and the situation continues to evolve without a clear resolution in sight.

On April 6, 2026, President Donald Trump held a news conference in the White House briefing room, where he commented on Iran’s leadership. In a social media post, Trump stated:

“Nobody knows who is in charge, including them. Also, we have all the cards, they have none!”

Did the US-Israel Attack Aim to Stop Iran’s Nuclear Program?

One of the primary justifications for the war is the claim that it was necessary to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. However, the reality is more complex:

  • Iran’s uranium stockpile: Iran possesses approximately 400 kilograms of highly enriched uranium, enough material to produce 10–11 nuclear weapons.
  • Denials and fatwa: Iran has denied seeking nuclear weapons, and the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei issued a fatwa against nuclear weapons. However, the level of enrichment Iran pursued lacks credible civilian justification.
  • Strategic miscalculation: Iran may have believed that maintaining a “threshold” nuclear status provided leverage in negotiations and deterrence. This strategy has backfired, as Iran has been bombed twice during nuclear negotiations in the past year, increasing its incentive to pursue nuclear weapons.

Is Iran’s Nuclear Material Still a Threat?

The enriched uranium is reportedly buried underground at Iran’s main enrichment sites. While it remains unclear whether Iran could excavate and weaponize this material before detection, the US and Israel have demonstrated the capability to disrupt Iran’s nuclear activities.

Trump has frequently referenced this material as “nuclear dust,” suggesting its potential danger. However, the war has likely intensified Iran’s determination to develop nuclear weapons as a deterrent against future attacks.

Will the Strait of Hormuz Remain Closed Indefinitely?

The likelihood of the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed depends on the definition of “closed” and “indefinitely.”

President Trump recently extended a ceasefire, which may indicate a reluctance to escalate military action to reopen the strait. Alternatively, it could signal a strategic delay while additional military assets are deployed to the region.

Both the US and Iran have economic incentives to reopen the strait, though Iran may prioritize inflicting enough disruption to deter future attacks.

What Happened to US-Iran Peace Talks in Pakistan?

Scheduled talks between the US and Iran in Pakistan collapsed over the weekend. The breakdown underscores the deep mistrust and unresolved tensions between the two nations, leaving the path to de-escalation uncertain.

What’s Next for the Iran War?

The conflict shows no signs of ending soon. With nuclear negotiations stalled, military strikes continuing, and economic pressures mounting, the stakes for regional and global stability remain critically high.

Source: Vox