Péter Magyar waves the Hungarian flag as he addresses a crowd in Budapest on March 15, 2025, National Day, commemorating the 1848 Hungarian Revolution. (Photo by Attila Kisbenedek / AFP via Getty Images)
History occasionally delivers events so improbable and transformative that observers question whether fate or providence played a role. The fall of South African apartheid and the collapse of European communism were such moments. For many Hungarians, the end of Orbánism belongs in the same category.
The year 2026 will mark a pivotal shift in Hungary’s history—the second time in 37 years Hungarians have experienced a ‘system change’ (rendszerváltás).
Not everyone grasps the magnitude of what transpired. Rod Dreher attributed Viktor Orbán’s defeat on April 12, 2025 to economic factors alone. Ross Douthat, writing on X (formerly Twitter), declared,
‘The results in Hungary tend to confirm one of my strongly-held views… the phrase “competitive authoritarianism” is just a contradiction in terms.’
Such a statement, if made in 1989 after Germans danced on the Berlin Wall, would have suggested the author lacked the insight to interpret world events. Readers would have dismissed the claim as naive or uninformed.
Even Orbán’s most loyal supporters acknowledge they have witnessed history. The political fortress he constructed appeared unassailable—until it crumbled like the walls of Jericho. His downfall resulted from a combination of luck, an extraordinary leader, and a burgeoning social movement that revived Hungary’s long-neglected liberal traditions.
Péter Magyar’s Unlikely Rise to Power
In some respects, Péter Magyar was simply the right leader at the right time. In most ways, however, he was the architect of his own success, creating opportunities where none existed before.
Hungarians were exhausted by Orbán’s rule and desperate for change, yet the opposition remained fragmented. The electoral system, redesigned in 2010, was engineered to splinter opposition votes, ensuring Fidesz—Orbán’s party—consistently secured supermajorities. Every election since the constitutional changes of 2010 had delivered Fidesz a dominant parliamentary majority.
The twist in 2025? Fidesz was the one left diminished, its parliamentary influence reduced to irrelevance.
From Fragmentation to Unity
To defeat Orbán, the scattered opposition needed to consolidate into a single force, presenting voters with a clear alternative. This seemed impossible—until Magyar achieved it in a single stroke. In the 2024 European Parliament elections, his movement won 30 percent of the vote, a breakthrough that galvanized the opposition and set the stage for Orbán’s defeat.