Petro-imperialism has resurfaced as a defining force in Middle Eastern geopolitics, with the United States and Iran locked in a dangerous standoff over control of the Strait of Hormuz—a critical waterway through which 20% of the world’s crude oil and natural gas once flowed.

On Monday, Iran’s military announced plans to take “necessary action” against US forces following an incident in which the US fired upon and seized an Iranian-flagged cargo ship attempting to pass through a US-imposed blockade. The military spokesperson condemned the US action as “blatant aggression” but emphasized that the immediate priority was ensuring the safety of the crew and their families.

These developments mark a dramatic escalation in the conflict, which has intensified since February when the US and Israel launched strikes against Iran. The situation further deteriorated after Iran initially reopened the Strait of Hormuz following a 10-day truce with Lebanon—only to reverse course on Saturday, declaring the strait would remain closed until the US lifted its blockade on Iranian ports.

In a televised address, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Iran’s parliamentary speaker, labeled the US blockade—a measure that began the previous Monday—as “a clumsy and ignorant decision” that violated the ceasefire agreement between the two nations.

Since then, Iran has reportedly targeted ships with Indian flags attempting to transit the strait. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump has threatened to commit war crimes by attacking Iranian civilian infrastructure, including power plants and bridges, if Iran refused to reopen the strait under a new peace deal. Iran has refused to comply, as the US continues its naval blockade on Iranian shipping ports.

The two nations now find themselves in a deadlock. According to CNN, JD Vance, the US vice president, is scheduled to travel to Pakistan on Tuesday to discuss next steps with Iran, though Vance’s reputation as a negotiator remains unproven.

As Jeff Colgan, a political science professor and Director of the Climate Solutions Lab at Brown University’s Watson Institute for Public and International Affairs, explained last month, the Trump administration’s poor planning and lack of foresight regarding the long-term consequences of its military campaign with Israel have led to this precarious moment. Colgan described the administration’s approach as a return to “petro-imperialism”—interventionist policies that not only destabilize Iran but have also triggered recent attacks on Venezuela.

As of April 9, more than 3,000 people in Iran have been killed. With Iran’s options dwindling, the country faces mounting pressure to defend itself, particularly as the US has intervened in Iran’s oil trade since the 1950s.