Twenty years ago, if you asked the average person what Google was, they’d tell you it was a search engine. The company became synonymous with searching for information online, reaching a level of dominance no search engine had seen before—or has seen since.
Ask the average person today and they’d probably give the same answer. But Google isn’t just a search engine anymore. It’s a far more complicated company, one trying to be all things to all people—and arguably succeeding at none of them.
Google’s Five-Layer Strategy: AI at the Core
Google has evolved into a five-layer company, according to David Bader, director of the Institute for Data Science at the New Jersey Institute of Technology. One of the key layers is artificial intelligence, which could account for $185 billion in capital expenditure this year—“larger than the GDP of most countries,” Bader notes. That level of spending signals a dramatic shift in the company’s direction.
“No serious search-only company spends like this,” Bader says.
This focus on AI is increasingly visible to end users. Google is embedding its AI model, Gemini, into nearly every product, from GSuite and email to Maps. Alex Hanna, a former Google employee and director of research at the Distributed AI Research Institute, says, “They’re shoving Gemini into every nook and cranny.”
The Gap Between Google’s Self-Image and Public Perception
There remains a disconnect between how Google sees itself and how the world views it. Internally, Hanna says, Google positions itself as an AI company. Externally, many still see it primarily as a search engine—and, in Hanna’s view, that experience has deteriorated.
“When you use Google Search, it’s trash. It sucks,” Hanna says.
Hanna argues that the decline in search quality is tied to Google’s shift in business strategy for the post-ChatGPT era. With AI capable of bypassing traditional search entirely, users may no longer need to visit a search engine or the websites it indexes.
Ad Revenue vs. AI Monetization: Google’s High-Stakes Gamble
Advertising remains Google’s “cash cow,” accounting for 74% of its revenue, according to Bader. However, others believe that dominance could erode as AI reshapes search behavior.
“They know that what they have to move to is a model that isn’t based on ad revenue. It’s based on whether they can find a pathway to monetize the AI infrastructure that they’ve been building out,” Hanna says.
Despite these challenges, Ed Anderson, an analyst at Gartner, believes Google Search isn’t going away. “I think Google Search will continue to be one of the primary touchpoints for years to come,” he says.
Beyond Search: Cloud and Investments Fuel Growth
To maintain its cash flow, Google is diversifying its revenue streams. Its cloud infrastructure business has grown 63% year over year and now accounts for roughly a fifth of the company’s overall business, positioning it as the “real number three to AWS and Azure.”
The company is also deploying capital as an investor, though the article does not specify further details.