President Donald Trump attends the annual White House Correspondents’ Dinner on April 25, 2026. (Nathan Howard/Getty Images)

While critics on the left have faced backlash for questioning whether the assassination attempt at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner (WHCD) two weeks prior was a false flag operation, new insights reveal that some of Donald Trump’s own supporters share similar doubts.

A recent focus group conducted by Bulwark publisher Sarah Longwell’s Longwell Partners included nine individuals who voted for Trump in both 2020 and 2024 but now disapprove of his presidency. The group’s discussions uncovered widespread skepticism about the official story surrounding the WHCD shooting.

Focus Group Rejects Official Narrative

Six of the nine participants in the focus group believed the assassination attempt—attributed to California teacher Cole Tomas Allen—was a psyop (psychological operation). Their skepticism stemmed from perceived inconsistencies in the event’s details.

“It doesn’t make sense that somebody should be able to get that close this many times in that way to the president of the United States,” said one participant.
“I can’t even go to a baseball game and bring in a can of Diet Coke . . . or a concert without a metal detector or them emptying my pockets,” another added.
“I feel like it was a ploy to get his ballroom that he wants, and that’s his reason,” a third participant argued.

It is important to note: There is no evidence to suggest the assassination attempt involved anyone other than Cole Tomas Allen or that it was a staged 'false flag' operation.

Key Themes: Coded Messages and Power Plays

Focus group members who doubted the official narrative relied on two primary arguments:

  • Too many attempts: Some believed the sheer number of alleged assassination plots against Trump made this incident unlikely to be genuine.
  • Washington power dynamics:
  • Others drew parallels to ruthless political maneuvers they had seen in media portrayals, such as Netflix’s House of Cards.

One participant fixated on a remark by White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt ahead of Trump’s WHCD speech. Leavitt had stated, “there will be some shots fired,” which the participant interpreted as a coded message.

“I think Karoline Leavitt had made a comment, flippant and could be totally coincidental, ‘Shots will be fired tonight.’ I mean, it’s almost like they’re toying with us or being playful in the [sense of] ‘We’re literally going to show you what we have done or what we’re about to do,’” the panelist said.

The Ballroom Factor: A Central Conspiracy

The proposed construction of a new ballroom at the White House emerged as a major point of contention. Some participants suggested Trump’s history of aggressive tactics—learned from his former mentor, cutthroat lawyer Roy Cohn—made the ballroom a plausible motive. Others noted how conservative media swiftly pivoted discussions of the shooting to advocate for the ballroom’s construction.