As the 2026 FIFA World Cup approaches, speculation has grown over whether U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) will play a role in security operations. While some indicators suggest involvement, historical and political factors complicate the likelihood of large-scale deployments.

ICE’s Stated Role in World Cup Security

In February, Todd Lyons, then-director of ICE, testified before Congress that the agency would be a “key part” of World Cup security. However, Lyons announced his resignation in May, leaving the agency’s operational plans uncertain.

Historical Backlash and Policy Shifts

High-profile ICE raids during the early Trump administration triggered significant political fallout. Notable incidents included:

  • Fatal encounters involving Homeland Security agents and American citizens.
  • The resignation of former Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem.
  • The retirement of Border Patrol chief Greg Bovino.

These events prompted a shift toward lower-profile enforcement strategies. Notably, ICE did not deploy agents for security at the Super Bowl, despite high-profile attendance.

Expert Predictions: A Likely Middle Ground

Sources in national immigration politics and Texas suggest that ICE’s role may not involve large-scale checkpoints or visible enforcement near World Cup venues. Instead, they anticipate a more discreet presence, focusing on coordination with other agencies rather than overt operations.

What to Watch For

Key factors that could influence ICE’s deployment include:

  • Final security plans from federal and local authorities.
  • Public and political reactions to enforcement actions in the lead-up to the event.
  • Potential adjustments based on international cooperation and security assessments.

As of now, the exact scope of ICE’s involvement remains unclear, but a high-visibility operation appears unlikely.