Layoffs have long been a red flag for investors, historically causing stock prices to plummet. Yet in recent months, companies such as Block, Snap, Meta, and Amazon have bucked this trend—each citing artificial intelligence (AI) as the reason for workforce reductions, only to see their stock prices rise.

For executives under pressure from investors, the strategy appears clear: invoke AI, cut jobs, and watch the ticker climb. As a former CEO who has experienced layoffs firsthand, I now advise HR and benefits leaders at Fortune 500 companies on navigating workforce reductions. Today, I’m urging fellow leaders to avoid reflexively using “AI” as a justification for layoffs without carefully considering the broader implications.

AI Is Rarely the True Driver of Layoffs

Despite the growing trend of “AI-driven layoffs,” the data tells a different story. A recent Goldman Sachs survey found that only 11% of clients reported cutting jobs primarily due to AI. Meanwhile, LinkedIn’s hiring data indicates that AI has not yet significantly slowed hiring rates.

Many of this year’s layoffs are rooted in factors such as overhiring during 2021 and 2022, a cooling economy, reduced consumer demand, and failed product investments. Yet these reasons lack the buzzworthy appeal of AI when delivered on an earnings call.

“Pointing to AI makes a better blog post. Or it at least doesn’t make you seem as much the bad guy who just wants to cut people for cost-effectiveness.”

Terrence Rohan, Tech Investor

It remains difficult to distinguish where AI is the actual cause of layoffs and where it serves as a convenient narrative. The risk? Leaders may be prioritizing optics over transparency.

The Human Cost of Layoffs Outlasts the Stock Pop

The impact of a layoff extends far beyond the balance sheet. Employees who are let go face the loss of not just income, but also health insurance, life insurance, retirement contributions, disability protections, and their daily routines. For those who remain, the experience can be equally destabilizing. Teams observe which colleagues are cut and what projects are abandoned, leaving them anxious about their own job security.

How a company communicates and executes layoffs shapes its identity in the eyes of both departing and remaining employees. The narrative leaders present to the market reflects the kind of organization they aspire to be—and directly influences morale in the months that follow.

What Leaders Must Consider Before Citing AI in Layoffs

  • Transparency matters: If AI isn’t the primary driver, avoid using it as a smokescreen. Authenticity builds trust.
  • Employee well-being is paramount: Acknowledge the human cost and provide support beyond severance, such as career transition assistance.
  • Long-term reputation risk: Misleading narratives can erode credibility with employees, customers, and investors alike.

Layoffs are never easy, but how they are framed—and executed—can define a company’s culture and future.